Do workers' remittances reduce the probability of current account reversals / Matteo Bugamelli.

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: Policy research working papers ; no. 3766Publication details: Washington, D. C : World Bank, 2005.Description: 55p : ill. ; 28 cmSubject(s):
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Books Books Main Campus Library University of Eastern Africa, Baraton Spc HG 3881.5 .W57 no.3766 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 60220

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The paper combines the literature on financial crises in emerging markets and developing economies with that on international migrations by investigating whether the increasingly large flows of workers' remittances can help reduce the probability of current account reversals. The rationale for this stands in the great stability and low cyclicality of remittances as compared to other private capital flows: these properties, combined with the fact that remittances are cheap inflows of foreign currencies, might reduce the probability that foreign investors suddenly flee out of emerging markets and developing economies and trigger a dramatic current account adjustment We find that remittances can indeed have such a beneficial effect. In particular, we show that a high level of remittances, as a ratio of GDP, makes the relationship between a decreasing stock of international reserves (ov

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